Bu Hafta Takip Edilmesi Gereken 10 Kripto Para Grafiği
Kripto para piyasalarında bu hafta kritik teknik seviyeler ve momentum değişimleri yaşanacak. İşte teknik analiz perspektifinden yakından takip edilmesi gereken 10 kripto para ve grafik formasyonları.
1. Bitcoin (BTC) - Tarihi Kırılım Beklentisi
Mevcut Fiyat: 97,800 dolar Kritik Seviyeler: 99,200 (direnç) / 95,500 (destek) Bu Hafta Beklenen: 100,000 dolar psychological barrier test
Teknik Görünüm:
Ascending Triangle: 95,000 destek ve 99,200 direnç arasında sıkışan fiyat Volume Profile: Yüksek hacimli kırılım beklentisi RSI: 68 seviyesinde, breakout için ideal pozisyon MACD: Pozitif divergence, momentum güçleniyor
Senaryolar:
- Bullish: 99,500 kırılımı → 102,000-105,000 hedef
- Bearish: 95,000 altı → 92,000-90,000 test
Takip Edilecek Saatler: Pazartesi Asia açılışı, Çarşamba US session
2. Ethereum (ETH) - Kritik Destek Testi
Mevcut Fiyat: 3,280 dolar Kritik Seviyeler: 3,450 (direnç) / 3,100 (kritik destek) Pattern: Descending Triangle Formation
Teknik Analiz:
50 EMA Test: 3,180 seviyesinde kritik destek Volume: Düşük hacim endişe verici RSI: 35 (oversold yakın) Support Zone: 3,100-3,150 must hold area
Bu Hafta Key Levels:
- Resistance: 3,350, 3,450, 3,600
- Support: 3,100, 2,950, 2,850
- Decision Point: 3,100 hold/break kritik
Trading Plan:
- Long entry: 3,100 defense ile
- Short setup: 3,050 altı confirmation
- Target: 3,500+ (bull) / 2,850 (bear)
3. Solana (SOL) - Momentum Lideri
Mevcut Fiyat: 248 dolar Kritik Seviyeler: 255 (direnç) / 235 (destek) Pattern: Bullish Flag Breakout
Chart Analysis:
Bullish Continuation: Flag pattern tamamlanıyor Volume: Güçlü volume confirmation RSI: 62 (sağlıklı bullish zone) Moving Averages: Tüm EMA'ların üzerinde
Upside Targets:
- Immediate: 265-270 dolar
- Extended: 285-300 dolar
- Fibonacci: 276 (1.618 extension)
Risk Management:
- Stop-loss: 235 altı
- Partial profit: 265 seviyesi
- Full target: 290-300 bandı
4. Chainlink (LINK) - Breakout Confirmation
Mevcut Fiyat: 23.60 dolar Kritik Seviyeler: 25.00 (direnç) / 21.50 (destek) Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders tamamlandı
Technical Setup:
Neckline Break: 22.50 resistance temiz kırıldı Volume Surge: %180 hacim artışı RSI: 65 (güçlü momentum) Target Calculation: 28.50 dolar (pattern target)
Bu Hafta Focus:
- Pullback Entry: 22.00-22.50 retest
- Continuation: 25.00 kırılımı critical
- Measured Move: 26.00-28.50 hedef
5. Arbitrum (ARB) - Layer 2 Lideri
Mevcut Fiyat: 2.18 dolar Kritik Seviyeler: 2.30 (direnç) / 1.95 (destek) Pattern: Cup and Handle formation
Grafik Analizi:
Handle Completion: 3 haftalık konsolidasyon tamamlandı Volume: Birikim fazı volume pattern'ı RSI: 58 (neutral to bullish) Fibonacci: 2.30 (%23.6 resistance)
Price Targets:
- Conservative: 2.45-2.60
- Aggressive: 2.80-3.00
- Pattern Target: 3.20+ (cup depth measurement)
6. Polygon (MATIC) - Upgrade Catalyst
Mevcut Fiyat: 1.08 dolar Kritik Seviyeler: 1.15 (direnç) / 0.98 (destek) Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle
Teknik Durumu:
Triangle Apex: Bu hafta decision point Volume Contraction: Tipik triangle pattern RSI: 52 (neutral) Bollinger Bands: Sıkışma fazı (volatility compression)
Breakout Scenarios:
- Upside: 1.15 kırılım → 1.30-1.40 target
- Downside: 0.95 altı → 0.85-0.80 test
- Catalyst: POL migration news
7. Avalanche (AVAX) - Institutional Play
Mevcut Fiyat: 48.20 dolar Kritik Seviyeler: 52.00 (direnç) / 45.00 (destek) Pattern: Ascending Channel
Chart Pattern:
Channel Boundaries: 42-52 dolar channel Trend: Intact uptrend pattern Volume: Steady accumulation RSI: 59 (bullish bias)
Bu Hafta Strategy:
- Channel Top: 52.00 resistance test
- Breakout Target: 58.00-62.00
- Support Test: 45.00 channel bottom
8. Render Network (RNDR) - AI Beneficiary
Mevcut Fiyat: 8.40 dolar Kritik Seviyeler: 9.50 (direnç) / 7.20 (destek) Pattern: Bullish Pennant
Technical Outlook:
Pennant Formation: Consolidation after strong move Volume: Decreasing in pennant (typical) RSI: 63 (momentum maintained) Moving Averages: All EMAs trending up
Breakout Expectations:
- Target: 10.50-11.00 (flagpole measurement)
- Entry: 8.80+ confirmation
- Stop: 7.80 pennant support
9. Uniswap (UNI) - DeFi Recovery Play
Mevcut Fiyat: 11.40 dolar Kritik Seviyeler: 12.50 (direnç) / 10.20 (destek) Pattern: Double Bottom Recovery
Grafik Formation:
Double Bottom: 9.80 double bottom completed Neckline: 11.80 resistance to break Volume: Increasing on recovery RSI: 48 (recovering from oversold)
Trade Setup:
- Entry Zone: 10.80-11.20
- Breakout Level: 12.00+
- Target: 14.00-15.00 (pattern measurement)
10. The Graph (GRT) - Infrastructure Play
Mevcut Fiyat: 0.285 dolar Kritik Seviyeler: 0.32 (direnç) / 0.25 (destek) Pattern: Falling Wedge Breakout
Technical Analysis:
Wedge Break: Bullish reversal pattern Volume Confirmation: Breakout ile hacim artışı RSI: 55 (momentum building) Fibonacci: 0.32 (%38.2 retracement)
Upside Targets:
- First: 0.35-0.38
- Second: 0.42-0.45
- Pattern Target: 0.48+ (wedge measurement)
Bu Hafta Takip Edilecek Key Events
Makroekonomik Faktörler
Pazartesi: Asia Pacific market opening, weekend news digest Salı: US inflation expectations, crypto market sentiment Çarşamba: Fed officials speeches, FOMC member comments Perşembe: Weekly jobless claims, EU economic data Cuma: US employment data, weekly close crucial
Crypto-Specific Events
Bitcoin:
- 100K psychological level test
- ETF flow data (Tuesday/Wednesday)
- Weekend momentum continuation
Ethereum:
- L2 development updates
- DeFi TVL changes
- Staking withdrawal patterns
Altcoins:
- Exchange listing announcements
- Partnership news flow
- Token unlock schedules
Haftalık Trading Strategy
Risk Management Principles
Position Sizing:
- Major caps (BTC, ETH): 3-5% per position
- Large caps (SOL, LINK): 2-3% per position
- Mid caps (ARB, AVAX): 1-2% per position
Stop-Loss Levels:
- Bitcoin: 94,000 major support
- Ethereum: 3,050 critical level
- Altcoins: Individual chart support levels
Correlation Analysis
High Correlation Pairs:
- BTC/ETH: 0.85 correlation
- L1 tokens: SOL/AVAX/MATIC similar patterns
- DeFi tokens: UNI/LINK institutional interest
Diversification Strategy:
- Sector spread: BTC (store of value), ETH (smart contracts), SOL (performance), LINK (infrastructure)
- Risk categories: Blue chips, growth plays, speculation
Saatlik Takip Programı
Pazartesi - Kasım Ayı Son Haftası
06:00-08:00 UTC: Asia açılış, weekend gap analysis 12:00-14:00 UTC: Europe session, volume pickup 14:00-16:00 UTC: US pre-market, institutional flow 20:00-22:00 UTC: US close, trend confirmation
Critical Decision Points
Bitcoin 99,200: Momentum durumu critical Ethereum 3,100: Support/resistance flip Altcoin breakouts: Volume confirmation essential Weekly closes: Trend continuation/reversal
Sonuç ve Haftalık Outlook
Bu hafta kripto piyasalarında critical juncture. Bitcoin'in 100K test'i piyasa geneli için determining factor olacak. Altcoin'lerde selective strength görülüyor, especially Layer 2 ve DeFi recovery plays.
Key Priorities
- Bitcoin 100K Watch: Market's primary focus
- ETH Support Defense: 3,100 level critical
- Altcoin Breakouts: Technical confirmation important
- Risk Management: Position sizing discipline
- Volume Confirmation: All breakouts need volume
Weekly Targets
Conservative Scenario: Range-bound trading, consolidation Bullish Scenario: BTC 100K+ breakthrough, altcoin follow-through Bearish Scenario: Major support breaks, risk-off sentiment
Technical analysis bu hafta için roadmap sağlıyor, ancak risk management ve position sizing her zaman priority olmalı. Volatile market conditions'da emotional trading'den kaçınmak ve systematic approach maintain etmek crucial.
